Euro 2024 - How Accurate Are AI Predictions? [Part 4 - Meta AI Overtakes ChatGPT!]

6 months ago

We are more than halfway through Euro 2024, with 28 matches out of 51 matches played. Which AI is currently leading?

So I wrote a post earlier this week (here) about using AI to predict Euro 2024 matches, and I discussed whether the predictions were accurate or not.

And it wasn't just me who found this interesting - there were a few comments who thought this was something that they wanted to follow. So I thought, why not let me continue with this?

So here's what I would do:

To spare you guys all the AI generated analysis, I have removed their analysis and focused purely on the scorelines
As usual, I would ask ChatGPT and Meta AI on the day of the matches itself so that they can provide their prediction based on the latest(?) information they have
Of course, we should have a competition as to which AI is better in predicting the outcome of the matches. So I have come up with a scoring system: 1 point for guessing the correct team (or draw), 3 points for guessing the exact scoreline!

Have put in some effort to organise all the data within the table below. (The first 4 matches were NA because I started this experiment late.)

Match	ChatGPT	Meta AI	Actual Score	Keeping Score
Germany vs Scotland	NA	NA	5-1
Hungary vs Switzerland	NA	NA	1-3
Spain vs Croatia	NA	NA	3-0
Italy vs Albania	NA	NA	2-1
Poland vs Netherlands	1-2	1-2	1-2	ChatGPT +3 Meta AI +3
Slovenia vs Denmark	0-2	0-2	1-1	X
Serbia vs England	1-3	1-3	0-1	ChatGPT +1 Meta AI +1
Romania vs Ukraine	1-1	1-2	3-0	X
Belgium vs Slovakia	2-0	3-0	0-1	X
Austria vs France	1-2	1-2	0-1	ChatGPT +1 Meta AI +1
Turkey vs Georgia	2-1	2-1	3-1	ChatGPT +1 Meta AI +1
Portugal vs Czech Republic	3-1	2-0	2-1	ChatGPT +1 Meta AI +1
Croatia vs Albania	2-1	2-1	2-2	X
Germany vs Hungary	3-1	3-0	2-0	ChatGPT +1 Meta AI +1
Scotland vs Switzerland	1-2	0-2	1-1	X
Slovenia vs Serbia	1-2	1-2	1-1	X
Denmark vs England	1-3	1-2	1-1	X
Spain vs Italy	2-2	1-1	1-0	X
Slovakia vs Ukraine	1-2	2-1	1-2	ChatGPT +3
Poland vs Austria	1-1	2-0	1-3	X
Netherlands vs France	1-3	2-1	0-0	X

Georgia vs Czech Republic	1-2	1-1	1-1	Meta AI +3
Turkey vs Portugal	1-3	1-2	0-3	ChatGPT +1 Meta AI +1
Belgium vs Romania	2-0	2-0	2-0	ChatGPT +3 Meta AI +3
Switzerland vs Germany	1-2	1-2	1-1	X
Scotland vs Hungary	2-1	2-1	0-1	X
Albania vs Spain	0-3	0-3	0-1	ChatGPT +1 Meta AI +1
Croatia vs Italy	1-2	1-1	1-1	Meta AI +3

France vs Poland	3-1	2-1
Netherlands vs Austria	2-0	2-0
Denmark vs Serbia	2-1	1-1
England vs Slovenia	4-0	3-0

Current Score: ChatGPT 16 (+5) Meta AI 19 (+11)

An awesome run by Meta AI in the recent matches, with 3 exact scorelines, and scoring a total of 11 points over 7 matches. ChatGPT got 1 exact scoreline and scored a total of 5 points over 7 matches. This means Meta AI now lead ChatGPT 19 to 16!

It's interesting that ChatGPT and Meta AI took different sides and both of them still got it wrong. Seems like the AIs are not that good.

With 24 matches played out, ChatGPT only predicted 10 winners correctly and Meta AI now has gotten 11 winners. That's less than half. Maybe we should go against these AIs hahaha.

Looks like there is still a lot of room for improvement for these AI machines. So far, the conclusion is these are just useful references and one should not rely on these AIs to bet and hope to strike it rich. Hahaha.

So finally, which AI do you think will predict the Euro 2024 scores better? Let me know if you have other comments too!

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