Euro 2024 - How Accurate Are AI Predictions? [Part 7 - AI Picked DIfferent Finalists!]

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We have completed the quarter finals matches and we have the final 4 teams for the semi finals! 3 matches remaining and which AI would out predict the other one?

So I wrote a post earlier this week (here) about using AI to predict Euro 2024 matches, and I discussed whether the predictions were accurate or not.

And it wasn't just me who found this interesting - there were a few comments who thought this was something that they wanted to follow. So I thought, why not let me continue with this?

So here's what I would do:

  • To spare you guys all the AI generated analysis, I have removed their analysis and focused purely on the scorelines
  • As usual, I would ask ChatGPT and Meta AI on the day of the matches itself so that they can provide their prediction based on the latest(?) information they have
  • Of course, we should have a competition as to which AI is better in predicting the outcome of the matches. So I have come up with a scoring system: 1 point for guessing the correct team (or draw), 3 points for guessing the exact scoreline!
  • Update: From knockout round onwards, given the complexity of extra time and penalty shootouts, both AIs will just be required to pick the winner. 2 points to be awarded for the correct guess!

Have put in some effort to organise all the data within the table below. (The first 4 matches were NA because I started this experiment late.)

MatchChatGPTMeta AIActual ScoreKeeping Score
Germany vs ScotlandNANA5-1
Hungary vs SwitzerlandNANA1-3
Spain vs CroatiaNANA3-0
Italy vs AlbaniaNANA2-1
Poland vs Netherlands1-21-21-2ChatGPT +3 Meta AI +3
Slovenia vs Denmark0-20-21-1X
Serbia vs England1-31-30-1ChatGPT +1 Meta AI +1
Romania vs Ukraine1-11-23-0X
Belgium vs Slovakia2-03-00-1X
Austria vs France1-21-20-1ChatGPT +1 Meta AI +1
Turkey vs Georgia2-12-13-1ChatGPT +1 Meta AI +1
Portugal vs Czech Republic3-12-02-1ChatGPT +1 Meta AI +1
Croatia vs Albania2-12-12-2X
Germany vs Hungary3-13-02-0ChatGPT +1 Meta AI +1
Scotland vs Switzerland1-20-21-1X
Slovenia vs Serbia1-21-21-1X
Denmark vs England1-31-21-1X
Spain vs Italy2-21-11-0X
Slovakia vs Ukraine1-22-11-2ChatGPT +3
Poland vs Austria1-12-01-3X
Netherlands vs France1-32-10-0X
Georgia vs Czech Republic1-21-11-1Meta AI +3
Turkey vs Portugal1-31-20-3ChatGPT +1 Meta AI +1
Belgium vs Romania2-02-02-0ChatGPT +3 Meta AI +3
Switzerland vs Germany1-21-21-1X
Scotland vs Hungary2-12-10-1X
Albania vs Spain0-30-30-1ChatGPT +1 Meta AI +1
Croatia vs Italy1-21-11-1Meta AI +3
France vs Poland3-12-11-1X
Netherlands vs Austria2-02-02-3X
Denmark vs Serbia2-11-10-0Meta AI +1
England vs Slovenia4-03-00-0X
Slovakia vs Romania1-11-11-1ChatGPT +3 Meta AI +3
Ukraine vs Belgium1-21-20-0X
Georgia vs Portugal0-30-22-0X
Czech Republic vs Turkey2-12-11-2X
Knockout
Switzerland vs ItalyItalyItalySwitzerlandX
Germany vs DenmarkGermanyDenmarkGermanyChatGPT +2
England vs SlovakiaEnglandSlovakiaEnglandChatGPT +2
Spain vs GeorgiaSpainGeorgiaSpainChatGPT +2
France vs BelgiumFranceBelgiumFranceChatGPT +2
Portugal vs SloveniaPortugalSloveniaPortugalChatGPT +2
Romania vs NetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsChatGPT +2 Meta AI +2
Austria vs TurkeyAustriaTurkeyTurkeyMeta AI +2
Quarter Finals
Spain vs GermanySpainSpainSpainChatGPT +2 Meta AI +2
Portugal vs FranceFranceFranceFranceChatGPT +2 Meta AI +2
England vs SwitzerlandEnglandEnglandEnglandChatGPT +2 Meta AI +2
Netherlands vs TurkeyNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsChatGPT +2 Meta AI +2
Semi Finals
Spain vs FranceFranceSpain
Netherlands vs EnglandEnglandEngland

Current Score: ChatGPT 39 (+8) Meta AI 35 (+8)

Just wow! Both AIs correctly got all 4 winnners spot on in the quarter finals! Right when we were doubting the capabilities of AI, they produced 4 correct predictions in a row! That means both ChatGPT and Meta AI scored 8 points each, so ChatGPT leads Meta AI 39 to 35.

With just 3 matches, I was worried that the same predictions will turn up for the semi finals. Interestingly, ChatGPT picked a different finalist from Meta AI. This sets for an exciting showdown, because if ChatGPT gets it right, it wins, but if Meta AI gets it right, the competition is right down to the final match! At least we now know, both AIs are almost on par with their abilities.

So who do you think will make it to the finals? Comment below!

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hmm, I stuck with my pre-tournament finalist guess Germany for match 1, as I couldn't decide otherwise.

The other three I got right. so only 75% for me in the QF.

I'm Hoping Spain & Netherlands for the final, but fear France & England could be playing what surely would be the Mogadon Euro Final

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It always gets tricky towards the finals! Hopefully we get a good show in the final matches! Thanks for dropping by!

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