Euro 2024 - How Accurate Are AI Predictions? [Part 8 - The AI Battle Goes Down To The Wire!]
We have completed the semi finals matches and we have the final 2 teams for the grand finals!
So I wrote a post earlier this week (here) about using AI to predict Euro 2024 matches, and I discussed whether the predictions were accurate or not.
And it wasn't just me who found this interesting - there were a few comments who thought this was something that they wanted to follow. So I thought, why not let me continue with this?
So here's what I would do:
- To spare you guys all the AI generated analysis, I have removed their analysis and focused purely on the scorelines
- As usual, I would ask ChatGPT and Meta AI on the day of the matches itself so that they can provide their prediction based on the latest(?) information they have
- Of course, we should have a competition as to which AI is better in predicting the outcome of the matches. So I have come up with a scoring system: 1 point for guessing the correct team (or draw), 3 points for guessing the exact scoreline!
- Update: From knockout round onwards, given the complexity of extra time and penalty shootouts, both AIs will just be required to pick the winner. 2 points to be awarded for the correct guess!
Have put in some effort to organise all the data within the table below. (The first 4 matches were NA because I started this experiment late.)
| Match | ChatGPT | Meta AI | Actual Score | Keeping Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany vs Scotland | NA | NA | 5-1 | |
| Hungary vs Switzerland | NA | NA | 1-3 | |
| Spain vs Croatia | NA | NA | 3-0 | |
| Italy vs Albania | NA | NA | 2-1 | |
| Poland vs Netherlands | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | ChatGPT +3 Meta AI +3 |
| Slovenia vs Denmark | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-1 | X |
| Serbia vs England | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | ChatGPT +1 Meta AI +1 |
| Romania vs Ukraine | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 | X |
| Belgium vs Slovakia | 2-0 | 3-0 | 0-1 | X |
| Austria vs France | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | ChatGPT +1 Meta AI +1 |
| Turkey vs Georgia | 2-1 | 2-1 | 3-1 | ChatGPT +1 Meta AI +1 |
| Portugal vs Czech Republic | 3-1 | 2-0 | 2-1 | ChatGPT +1 Meta AI +1 |
| Croatia vs Albania | 2-1 | 2-1 | 2-2 | X |
| Germany vs Hungary | 3-1 | 3-0 | 2-0 | ChatGPT +1 Meta AI +1 |
| Scotland vs Switzerland | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1-1 | X |
| Slovenia vs Serbia | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | X |
| Denmark vs England | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | X |
| Spain vs Italy | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-0 | X |
| Slovakia vs Ukraine | 1-2 | 2-1 | 1-2 | ChatGPT +3 |
| Poland vs Austria | 1-1 | 2-0 | 1-3 | X |
| Netherlands vs France | 1-3 | 2-1 | 0-0 | X |
| Georgia vs Czech Republic | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | Meta AI +3 |
| Turkey vs Portugal | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-3 | ChatGPT +1 Meta AI +1 |
| Belgium vs Romania | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | ChatGPT +3 Meta AI +3 |
| Switzerland vs Germany | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | X |
| Scotland vs Hungary | 2-1 | 2-1 | 0-1 | X |
| Albania vs Spain | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-1 | ChatGPT +1 Meta AI +1 |
| Croatia vs Italy | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | Meta AI +3 |
| France vs Poland | 3-1 | 2-1 | 1-1 | X |
| Netherlands vs Austria | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-3 | X |
| Denmark vs Serbia | 2-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | Meta AI +1 |
| England vs Slovenia | 4-0 | 3-0 | 0-0 | X |
| Slovakia vs Romania | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | ChatGPT +3 Meta AI +3 |
| Ukraine vs Belgium | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | X |
| Georgia vs Portugal | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-0 | X |
| Czech Republic vs Turkey | 2-1 | 2-1 | 1-2 | X |
| Knockout | ||||
| Switzerland vs Italy | Italy | Italy | Switzerland | X |
| Germany vs Denmark | Germany | Denmark | Germany | ChatGPT +2 |
| England vs Slovakia | England | Slovakia | England | ChatGPT +2 |
| Spain vs Georgia | Spain | Georgia | Spain | ChatGPT +2 |
| France vs Belgium | France | Belgium | France | ChatGPT +2 |
| Portugal vs Slovenia | Portugal | Slovenia | Portugal | ChatGPT +2 |
| Romania vs Netherlands | Netherlands | Netherlands | Netherlands | ChatGPT +2 Meta AI +2 |
| Austria vs Turkey | Austria | Turkey | Turkey | Meta AI +2 |
| Quarter Finals | ||||
| Spain vs Germany | Spain | Spain | Spain | ChatGPT +2 Meta AI +2 |
| Portugal vs France | France | France | France | ChatGPT +2 Meta AI +2 |
| England vs Switzerland | England | England | England | ChatGPT +2 Meta AI +2 |
| Netherlands vs Turkey | Netherlands | Netherlands | Netherlands | ChatGPT +2 Meta AI +2 |
| Semi Finals | ||||
| Spain vs France | France | Spain | Spain | Meta AI +2 |
| Netherlands vs England | England | England | England | ChatGPT +2 Meta AI +2 |
| Finals | ||||
| Spain vs England | England | Spain |
Current Score: ChatGPT 41 (+2) Meta AI 39 (+4)
While the Euro 2024 tournament didn't see much surprises, the twists and turns are plenty in the AI battle for these predictions. Meta AI got both finalists right and have made up most of the ground lost during the quarter finals stage. ChatGPT got one finalist and inched closer to the finishing line. The score now stands at 41 to 39 in ChatGPT's favour...
But wait, there's the finals! And we have another show on our hands!
ChatGPT has predicted a England win while Meta AI has predicted a Spain win!
If England wins, ChatGPT will win this competition, but if Spain wins, the scores will be tied. And I haven't thought of a tiebreaker actually - who knew it would be this close! So let's see what happens!
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